Lazio VS Atletico Madrid match result prediction (UCL, 9/20)




During the 109th Sports Toto/Proto in the 3rd week of September, we recommend betting matches and expected analysis results.
During the 109th UCL match, we would like to predict the match and result of Lazio vs. Atletico Madrid.

Win, Draw, Lose, Win, Draw, Lose
Average 2.86 3.26 2.46

This is the away team advantage odds.
The odds for a draw are the highest, and there is not much difference between the odds for a win, draw, or loss, so it does not feel like certain possibilities are being denied.




Looking at the dividend change trend, the increase in draw dividends is noticeable.
It seems like the chances of a draw are a little high.
Please note the changes.

Lazio standings

Lazio, ranked 15th, has only one win this season.
In comparison, ATM is running smoothly.

Looking at the league standings alone, Lazio seems to be struggling quite a bit.

However, I recommend that those who read this article look at my supporting data and make their own bets.
(My result prediction is not an unconditional answer.)



Historical records between teams



The relative record is only very old.
Still, if you look at that record, ATM, who won 1 win and 1 draw at Lazio’s home, is quite strong against Lazio away, but since the record is so old, it doesn’t seem to be very meaningful. However, it is clear that the expedition is not that burdensome.




Last match time


Temporary League Opponent Score Results
23-09-16 Serie A Juventus 3:1 away loss
23-09-03 Serie A Napoli 1:2 away win
Lazio

Temporary League Opponent Score Results
23-09-16 La Liga Valencia 3:0 away loss
23-08-29 La Liga Rayo 0:7 away win
ATM

Since the two teams had the same last game in common, the impact on this game is expected to be minimal.
However, one thing to keep in mind is that since the game will be played on 2023.09.20 (Wednesday) 04:00, both teams will only have 3 days off before playing, so teams with weak depth will have no choice but to rotate for this game. It seems like it will fall out.





Injured player



Position Player Name Goal Assist Status
FW
memphis depay
MF
Koke
MF
Thomas Lemar
MF
Rodrigo de Paul
DF
Chalar Soyunju
ATM

This is the status of injuries by team.
Lazio has no injuries, but there are many MF injuries at ATM, so the MF line may be in physical danger in this game.
The absence of De Paul, Koke, and Lemar is unfortunate.




Recent team atmosphere

Recent team atmosphere

Lazio’s last 4 games have 3 points and ATM has 7 points, so the ATM atmosphere is good.
It doesn’t seem like the atmosphere is that good because they lost both of the last matches, but the overall weight class (team weight class within the league) is definitely the recent atmosphere where ATM’s superiority is confirmed.



Analysis of overall gain and loss indicators




This ATM is particularly weak in away games.
Lazio’s UCL record is historically lower than that of ATM, but they are always strong at home.
Looking at the goals conceded record for the entire game, Lazio has a slight advantage, but the two teams do not have a good record in common.
What we can see from this table is that even ATMs that seem strong in their weight class always show weakness in away games.



match prediction



overall victory judgment
ratioLazioAtletico Madrid
Opponent record1505
Recent game progress500
Injured player550
Recent team atmosphere1005
Gain/Loss Indicator30250
Home Away Advantage30300
956010



A fun match is expected.
It’s strange, but I think Lazio will win.
I think there could be a draw, but with ATM’s weak away game, Lazio’s historic home strength, and Lazio’s greater depth, I think there could be a miracle win against ATM.



thank you